Holding the sovereign territories of the Russian Federation will give Ukraine morale and strengthen its position in future negotiations. Because if Trump wins the US election, Kiev may be forced to sit down at the negotiating table. From this point of view, it is more important for Ukrainians not to advance further in the Kursk region, but to firmly settle in the occupied territories, says political scientist Jahangir Akramov.
On the morning of August 6, Ukrainian troops entered the Kursk region of Russia from the Sumy region and occupied dozens of villages within a few days.
In the Kun.uz “Geosiyosat” program, political scientist Jahangir Akramov said that experts believe that this military operation was prepared for about half a year. There are reports that 8 brigades were involved in the operation, but only part of them entered Kursk – the reserve forces may or may not join the war depending on how the operation turns out.
On August 7, the Russian Ministry of Defense said that 82 Ukrainian military equipment and about 600 soldiers were destroyed, but this is one-sided information, and Russia’s losses are also not small: a convoy of 14 trucks with Russian soldiers. Independent experts confirm the authenticity of the video footage of the destroyed Himars. Transporting troops in such a convoy has been criticized before.
If we touch on the question of the use of nuclear weapons by Russia, the analyst says that such a danger has not been seen for several days. “This was also the signal that Kiev gave to the West that Russia cannot use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. The use of Western weapons directly on the territory of Russia can also serve to expand the radius of use of these weapons. This can lead to geographical expansion,” he said.
According to Jahangir Akramov, the attack on Kursk is also significant from a psychological point of view. For the first time since World War II, the army of a foreign country crossed the border of sovereign Russia. Politically, this situation will contribute to strengthening Ukraine’s position in the upcoming negotiations. Therefore, the main task of Ukraine now may not be the expansion of the territories occupied by Russia, but a firm establishment on the current lines. Because the larger the occupied territories, the more difficult it is to hold them.
Speaking of negotiations, the analyst recalls the elections in the United States, because if the Republican candidate Donald Trump comes to power, he can put pressure on Ukraine to come to the negotiating table with Russia. In such a case, Ukraine may withdraw from the occupied Russian territories in exchange for the return of certain territories.
Normuhammad Ali Abdurahmanov spoke.
